1/03/2018

A briefing on what's going in Iran in my understanding

1- Demonstration started a couple of days ago by encouragement of hardliner to put pressure on Mr. Rohani, the moderate reformist. But just after one hour, they lost the control over it.

2- The demonstrations who are following are spontaneous without any organization, spread all around the country but not so crowded. None of syndicates or political groups are involved. And all the different sides, official and analyst surprised.

3- This demonstration is not a revolution, not even a movement. It is a frustration on corruption, unemployment, economic inequality and cultural decimations.

4- The demonstrations became violent. About 20 people were killed, polices staff included. Most of them happened when people attack police stations or army base sites. Some opposition figures outside of country encourages people to use violence and attack to polices station…

5- USA, Israel and Saudi Arabia are trying to influence the demonstrations in Iran. As the main hashtag which is related to this manifestation has been twitted more in Saudi Arabia than Iran.

6- The Reformists insist on the right of demonstration and critic the use of violence. The Conservatives blame external enemy for that. Some oppositions call for revolution ( which is right now an illusion) and ignore or justify violence demonstration.

7- The media exaggerate the importance of the recent event in Iran. These demonstrations will end in a couple of days. And its impact on Iranian politics may be limited to some populistic economic policies, nothing more.